2 ms·

2026: $1,000/month 2027: $100/month 2028: $10/month

by wmf 2mo ago

weinzierl 2mo ago
Hopefully!
rchaud 2mo ago
Just because the hardware and inference costs may decrease in the future doesn't mean prices will. The AI vendor market is the furthest thing from a competitive industry where there are limited barriers to entry and new market entrants exert downward pressure on prices and profit margins. Every single company in this market is losing billions on this business, and the only way to make it back is to acquire paying customers at a loss and jack up prices later.
- wmf 2mo ago
  Since Guardian Angel is an inference vendor [1] hopefully they will set sustainable prices from day one so they don't need to increase prices later. [1] The announcement explains that they can't use APIs for privacy reasons.
  - KerrAvon 2mo ago
    They don't control that. Pricing is controlled by the question of when RAM is once again made of semiconductors instead of unobtainium.
- lanakei 2mo ago
  Companies aren't losing billions on AI, it is profitable. Currently, industry spend is more than industry revenue because there are massive gains expected from investment into more compute and research, but this isn't an inherent cost of the technology. Consider that OpenAI recently dropped the price of their frontier model by 90% [1]. [1]: https://openai.com/index/advancing-the-price-performance-frontier-with-gpt-5-6/ https://openai.com/index/advancing-the-price-performance-fro...
KerrAvon 2mo ago
this is not how it's going to go if OpenAI and Anthropic get their way and the US outlaws use of open-weight models
bronson 2mo ago
RAM: 2024: $315 2025: $780 2026: $1600
- probably_wrong 2mo ago
  Also, price of an Nvidia RTX 4090 according to a random website [1]: Jan. 2023: $1920 Jan. 2024: $1811 Jan. 2025: $1639 Jan. 2026: $2193 [1] https://bestvaluegpu.com/history/new-and-used-rtx-4090-price-history-and-specs/ https://bestvaluegpu.com/history/new-and-used-rtx-4090-price...
  - shpx 2mo ago
    $1920 in Jan 2023 has the same buying power as $2143 in June 2026 https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl?cost1=1%2C920.00&year1=202301&year2=202606 https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl?cost1=1%2C920.00&yea...

2026: $1,000/month 2027: $100/month 2028: $10/month

by wmf 2mo ago

2026: $1,000/month 2027: $100/month 2028: $10/month

weinzierl 2mo ago

Hopefully!

rchaud 2mo ago

Just because the hardware and inference costs may decrease in the future doesn't mean prices will. The AI vendor market is the furthest thing from a competitive industry where there are limited barriers to entry and new market entrants exert downward pressure on prices and profit margins. Every single company in this market is losing billions on this business, and the only way to make it back is to acquire paying customers at a loss and jack up prices later.

wmf 2mo ago
Since Guardian Angel is an inference vendor [1] hopefully they will set sustainable prices from day one so they don't need to increase prices later. [1] The announcement explains that they can't use APIs for privacy reasons.
- KerrAvon 2mo ago
  They don't control that. Pricing is controlled by the question of when RAM is once again made of semiconductors instead of unobtainium.
lanakei 2mo ago
Companies aren't losing billions on AI, it is profitable. Currently, industry spend is more than industry revenue because there are massive gains expected from investment into more compute and research, but this isn't an inherent cost of the technology. Consider that OpenAI recently dropped the price of their frontier model by 90% [1]. [1]: https://openai.com/index/advancing-the-price-performance-frontier-with-gpt-5-6/ https://openai.com/index/advancing-the-price-performance-fro...

KerrAvon 2mo ago

this is not how it's going to go if OpenAI and Anthropic get their way and the US outlaws use of open-weight models

bronson 2mo ago

RAM: 2024: $315 2025: $780 2026: $1600

probably_wrong 2mo ago
Also, price of an Nvidia RTX 4090 according to a random website [1]: Jan. 2023: $1920 Jan. 2024: $1811 Jan. 2025: $1639 Jan. 2026: $2193 [1] https://bestvaluegpu.com/history/new-and-used-rtx-4090-price-history-and-specs/ https://bestvaluegpu.com/history/new-and-used-rtx-4090-price...
- shpx 2mo ago
  $1920 in Jan 2023 has the same buying power as $2143 in June 2026 https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl?cost1=1%2C920.00&year1=202301&year2=202606 https://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl?cost1=1%2C920.00&yea...