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"Germany has one of the most ambitious energy transition policies dubbed ‘Die Energiewende’ to replace nuclear- and fossil power with renewables such as wind-,
by leonidasrup 2mo ago
"Germany has one of the most ambitious energy transition policies dubbed ‘Die Energiewende’ to replace nuclear- and fossil power with renewables such as wind-, solar- and biopower. The climate gas emissions are reduced by 25% in the study period of 2002 through 2022. By triangulating available information sources, the total nominal expenditures are estimated at EUR 387 bn, and the associated subsidies are some EUR 310 bn giving a total nominal expenditures of EUR 696 bn. Alternatively, Germany could have kept the existing nuclear power in 2002 and possibly invest in new nuclear capacity. The analysis of these two alternatives shows that Germany could have reached its climate gas emission target by achieving a 73% cut in emissions on top of the achievements in 2022 and simultaneously cut the spending in half compared to Energiewende. Thus, Germany should have adopted an energy policy based on keeping and expanding nuclear power."
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14786451.2024.2355642 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14786451.2024.2...
- ZeroGravitas 2mo agoIsn't this the guy that double counted everything? Because he counted when something got bought and then counted the subsidy used to buy and added then together?
- leonidasrup 2mo agoDouble-counting was criticism from Fraunhofer ISI. Jan Emblemsvåg has responded to the criticism with follow on article: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14786451.2026.2668864 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14786451.2026.2...
- throw0101d 2mo agoDoing a quick search for Emblemsvåg, this seems fairly relevant: > […] He has researched and published significantly in Life-Cycle Analyses, Life-Cycle Costing, energy, risk, Lean and other areas. […] * https://www.ntnu.edu/employees/jan.emblemsvag https://www.ntnu.edu/employees/jan.emblemsvag > Everyone jokes about the 20/20 hindsight of cost management. In Life-Cycle Costing, Jan Emblemsvag proposes to do something about it. Here's a new approach to life cycle costing that brings activity-based costing, risk, and uncertainty into the forefront. You'll focus on future costs and learn how you can perform any type of cost management activity better than before by introducing uncertainty into models and exploiting them to the max. * https://www.wiley.com/en-us/shop/general-introductory-accounting/life-cycle-costing-using-activity-based-costing-and-monte-carlo-methods-to-manage-future-costs-and-risks-p-9780471469193 https://www.wiley.com/en-us/shop/general-introductory-accoun...
- uecker 2mo agoGermany invested in renewables already at a time when they were very expensive. This created an economy of scale that brought prices down to everybody. Nuclear was never economical anywhere, so no, Germany should not have expanded nuclear. I think it could have kept them running a bit longer, but those decisions were made a long time ago and changing them also has a cost.