4 ms·
In case the author is here: What's the difference between "win probability of win" and "odds", please? The seem the same thing to me. And also, what are "deci
by profsummergig 2mo ago
In case the author is here:
What's the difference between "win probability of win" and "odds", please? The seem the same thing to me.
And also, what are "decimal" vs. "american" odds, please?
Thanks.
- kgwgk 2mo ago‘Odds’ is the payout, the price of the bet, the prize you may win. And the ‘win probability’ is the probability of winning as the name suggests.
- seanhunter 2mo agoDecimal odds give the total payout (including stake) if you win a bet of 1. So if I place a bet of $1 at decimal odds of 2.5 and it pays out I receive 1 x 2.5 = 2.5. So payout = stake * odds. American odds (also sometimes called “moneyline” odds) have two presentations. - If the odds quoted are positive it indicates the net payout (excluding stake) from a bet of $100 dollars. So I place a bet of 1 dollar at moneyline odds of 150 it pays me 1.5 plus my original stake back. 150/100 * 1 + 1 = 2.5. So payout = stake + (odds/100 * stake) . A positive moneyline odds number means an underdog. - If the odds quoted are negative it’s how much you need to bet to win $100 (excluding stake). So if I place $1 at moneyline odds of -150 and it pays out I get 1 * 100/150 + 1 =1.667. Therefore payout = stake + (100/abs(odds) * stake). A negative moneyline odds number indicates a favourite. The higher the absolute value, the bigger the favourite as far as the house is concerned.