To clarify on the prior: It's not always 1/5 -- it's 1/(number of nominations for that category-year). In some years there have been fewer than 5 nominations fo

To clarify on the prior: It's not always 1/5 -- it's 1/(number of nominations for that category-year). In some years there have been fewer than 5 nominations for certain categories, which this model takes into account. I do agree it would be interesting to bias it by the preferential ballots from the nominations process. Unfortunately I couldn't find that data anywhere...