Interestingly, that METR study has updated data for 2026 that shows a speed up, although they admit that the data may not be reliable because of changed pay rat

Interestingly, that METR study has updated data for 2026 that shows a speed up, although they admit that the data may not be reliable because of changed pay rate for participation, but this quote is telling: > The primary reason is that we have observed a significant increase in developers choosing not to participate in the study because they do not wish to work without AI, which likely biases downwards our estimate of AI-assisted speedup. So compared to just last year, they had a hard time finding participants because too many didn't want to work without AI.