4 ms·
Iran has launched thousands of missiles at Israel over the last few months. The idea they're worried about Israeli nuclear weapons is fanciful.
by laughing_man 3mo ago
Iran has launched thousands of missiles at Israel over the last few months. The idea they're worried about Israeli nuclear weapons is fanciful.
- roenxi 3mo ago[flagged]
- laughing_man 3mo agoWhy do you say they're "clearly going to be worried about getting nuked"? I see no indication that's true.
- deleted 3mo ago[deleted]
- denkmoon 3mo agoWhat would you expect to see if they were? ooc
- laughing_man 3mo agoI would expect them to not launch thousands of missiles at Israel... is that a trick question?
- s1artibartfast 3mo agoNo trick. Other people dont think that is the natural implication. They seem to be correct because Israel has not nuked Iran in responses.
- nozzlegear 3mo agoIt's theater for the Iranian regime. They expect almost all of the missiles will get taken down by the iron dome and US interdiction, but they still need to launch them to save face at home and not let attacks go unrequited lest they look weak. Iran doesn't actually want to hit Israel hard, or at least doesn't want to do it right now. If they did, they wouldn't rattle their sabers so hard before each giant volley toward Israel, giving the Israelis ample time to prepare for a strike.
- roenxi 3mo agoThat is similar to pointing to someone on the street and claiming they want to commit suicide because you see no indication that they want to live. Unless there is strong evidence we can safely assume people don't want to be nuked. "I see no indication" is not the standard. The Iranians didn't start this, they don't seem to want to continue it and it is obvious that their planning will involve basic considerations like not doing things that will get them nuked. Although hitting the AWS data centre in Tel Aviv seems like it would be a great tit-for-tat strike to really annoy the US and Israelis without threatening them in a way that will provoke a nuclear response or doing real damage to civilians. So I don't see why they'd purposefully hold back on that.
- laughing_man 3mo agoWhat target could the Iranians hit you believe would provoke a nuclear response?
- roenxi 3mo agoThings like the Knesset, attempts to knock out the entire military leadership simultaneously, maybe some sort of attack designed to wipe out a significant % of Israelis although I don't know what that would look like (maybe some sort of hit to take out food distribution or water). Attacks trying to topple the Israeli state, in essence. Knocking out profitable capital is quite unlikely to do it.
- laughing_man 3mo agoI don't think any of that would provoke a nuclear response. As long as the Iranians stay away from NBC attacks, the Israelis aren't going to nuke them.
- sampli 3mo agoSamson option
- JumpCrisscross 3mo ago
- allah69 3mo ago[dead]
- truetraveller 3mo agoThat's likely theater. if real rockets / drones were fired, there would be 100x more people dead. There is almost certainly some "understanding" with all parties involved.
- laughing_man 3mo agoA more likely reason for the lack of widespread death in Israel is the Iranians don't have the capability to cause it. The Israelis have air raid shelters, plus early warning radars that give them time to get to those shelters. And they have anti-missile systems to take out the most dangerous incoming ordinance.