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SF author Charlie Stross delved into this a few years ago: https://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2018/01/dude-you-broke-the-future.html https://www.anti

• CalRobert 3mo ago
  “. If I predict that in 2027 LTE cellular phones will be everywhere, 5G will be available for high bandwidth applications, and fallback to satellite data service will be available at a price, you won't laugh at me. It's not like I'm predicting that airliners will fly slower and Nazis will take over the United States, is it?”