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For smartphones: Definitely too late. For tablets: Maybe not too late. It's over in handhelds, a duopoly between iOS and Android, with a niche duopoly between
by mortenjorck 14y ago
For smartphones: Definitely too late.
For tablets: Maybe not too late.
It's over in handhelds, a duopoly between iOS and Android, with a niche duopoly between RIM and Windows Phone. Tablets are going to get much more interesting, though, with balkanized ecosystems forming around Android offshoots such as Amazon's Kindle, and the fallout from Microsoft's surprisingly desperate move of trying to front-load its tablet OS into its flagship desktop OS.
The difference between tablets and desktops is going to get blurrier in what we accomplish with them, but perhaps not in how we accomplish it. There's room for a dark horse here.
- clarky07 14y agoI disagree. I think the tablet market is such that it is tied to the phone ecosystem and vice versa. If you can't compete in one, you can't compete in the other. Microsoft might be able to compete with the tie to it's desktop (instead of/in addition to the phone). webOS has no mobile or desktop tie in so it has no chance.
- mortenjorck 14y agoThat's definitely the Apple model, and it applies so long as the tablet market is the iPad market. That will continue to be the case for awhile, but the tablet's conceptual proximity to the desktop (even apart from its forced convergence by Microsoft) is going to make its evolution more complicated than the smartphone market has been with its proximity to the younger, less baggage-heavy mobile / PDA market. Smartphones are reaching the slow part of an S-curve right now. Tablets are just getting started.
- hahainternet 14y agoA remarkably accurate analysis in my eyes.