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> Seems like being directionally right early that AI would be a Big Deal and scary should count for something? If I scream that a vicious beast is going to des
by Planktonne 4mo ago
> Seems like being directionally right early that AI would be a Big Deal and scary should count for something?
If I scream that a vicious beast is going to destroy the world, I don't get credit for being 'directionally right' if a squirrel eats a hazelnut. AI being a big deal is a long, long way from the full beliefs Yudkowksy promotes, and there are many people who predicted AI's significance who didn't also believe it would be an extinction event.
- ianm218 4mo agoThis doesn’t track though. Just recently AI became “powerful enough” to warrant export controls from the US and maybe soon China. It’s more he screamed that bacteria is gonna do evolution faster than any before it and turn into a beast that destroys the world, and now that bacteria has turned into a squirrel so far. He’s been very right so far and if that squirrel keeps sizing up you’d want to give him credit.
- andy99 4mo agoJust recently AI became “powerful enough” to warrant export controls from the US and maybe soon China. What’s the term I’m looking for here? This is one of the most absurd statements I’ve ever seen but it feels like a pattern I’ve forgotten from books or something. Someone makes a made up claim, second party acts on made up claim, third party takes second party’s actions a proof of claim. Reminds me of the “they’re eating pets” thing a bit.
- ianm218 4mo agoDo you mind taking your comment a bit further to a conclusion so I can better understand your perspective? Like are you saying that AI is still kinda not a powerful tool and unlikely to become geopolitically relevant etc? I don’t know how to relate this to culture war media frenzies which is rather stay out of.