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To me it feels like the mobile hype is in decline. People still like their apps, but there hasn't been a breakthrough (non-game) success in quite a while. I say
by MatthewPhillips 14y ago
To me it feels like the mobile hype is in decline. People still like their apps, but there hasn't been a breakthrough (non-game) success in quite a while. I say this as Instagram is only 2 years old. SXSW used to introduce a new category of apps each year (Gamified location apps, group messaging, photo sharing) and this year we got... Highlight. Which might be great but it's no Foursquare.
- ozgung 14y agoHype may be in decline but only to rise again as modeled in the Hype Cycle. I think this "Mobile First" thing is a typical example of Amara's Law, overestimating the effect of a new technology in the short run and underestimating in the long run.
- Joeri 14y agoThe installed base of smartphones and tablets will exceed those of desktops and laptops next year. There are 6 billion phone subscriptions in the world, and only 1 billion pc's. All those phones will become internet-enabled within a decade. It's almost impossible to overestimate the importance of mobile, but it's also impossible to predict winners and losers in that space because most of the growth still needs to happen and there are no precedents to base decisions on.