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Fable was quite relentless, it was fun watching it work. I described my lisp interpreter project's short term plans and long term roadmap, Fable thought for lik

Fable was quite relentless, it was fun watching it work. I described my lisp interpreter project's short term plans and long term roadmap, Fable thought for like 20 minutes then just told me it was all "inevitable" and started working on the stuff. Ever since then I started to picture Fable as some kind of Terminator. Left me that code and a massive code review that unfortunately didn't contain any of the I/O and memory safety hardening I wanted. I haven't fully reviewed the code yet. I get a little sad when I read it. Not a US citizen so I'm not sure I'll ever get to use a state of the art model again.

krackers 4mo ago
> thought for like 20 minutes then just told me it was all "inevitable" I have in mind an image of ASI as something that's able to seamlessly work across time as if it was weaving cloth. Reasoning about not just first or second order effects, but able to richly play with the nature of causality itself. In the limit, it effects change far into the distant future simply by making only the most minute change in the present then sitting back and waiting for things to play out. For an AI that can do this, things like "managing subagents" or "context compaction" become child's play. Perhaps we'll know if we're getting close by seeing how well models do at prediction markets.
- actionfromafar 4mo ago
  Predicting the future by making it.
Jblx2 4mo ago
>I get a little sad when I read it. Not a US citizen so I'm not sure I'll ever get to use a state of the art model again. ...or tomorrow: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48740771 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48740771
- matheusmoreira 4mo ago
  That's great news. I was going to cancel my subscription because of the export restrictions.
  - arcticbull 4mo ago
    Also, note, everyone assumed it was going to be limited to citizens, but that's not what the government said. They put it under ITAR/EAR's US person definition which includes citizens, permanent residents, refugees and asylees. Basically only visa holders in the US were banned, and of course, people in foreign countries. https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-15/part-772/section-772.1#p-772.1(Foreign%20person) https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-15/part-772/section-772.1...
    - matheusmoreira 4mo ago
      I am one of the banned foreigners.
    - RugnirViking 4mo ago
      contrary to some people's intuitions, most people have never lived in or been to the united states.
      - arcticbull 4mo ago
        ... did you think that's what I was implying? I'm not even American my guy. I was adding clarification because the commenter I responded to claimed they had to be a US citizen to ride.

krackers 4mo ago

> thought for like 20 minutes then just told me it was all "inevitable" I have in mind an image of ASI as something that's able to seamlessly work across time as if it was weaving cloth. Reasoning about not just first or second order effects, but able to richly play with the nature of causality itself. In the limit, it effects change far into the distant future simply by making only the most minute change in the present then sitting back and waiting for things to play out. For an AI that can do this, things like "managing subagents" or "context compaction" become child's play. Perhaps we'll know if we're getting close by seeing how well models do at prediction markets.

actionfromafar 4mo ago
Predicting the future by making it.

Jblx2 4mo ago

>I get a little sad when I read it. Not a US citizen so I'm not sure I'll ever get to use a state of the art model again. ...or tomorrow: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48740771 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48740771

matheusmoreira 4mo ago
That's great news. I was going to cancel my subscription because of the export restrictions.
- arcticbull 4mo ago
  Also, note, everyone assumed it was going to be limited to citizens, but that's not what the government said. They put it under ITAR/EAR's US person definition which includes citizens, permanent residents, refugees and asylees. Basically only visa holders in the US were banned, and of course, people in foreign countries. https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-15/part-772/section-772.1#p-772.1(Foreign%20person) https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-15/part-772/section-772.1...
  - matheusmoreira 4mo ago
    I am one of the banned foreigners.
  - RugnirViking 4mo ago
    contrary to some people's intuitions, most people have never lived in or been to the united states.
    - arcticbull 4mo ago
      ... did you think that's what I was implying? I'm not even American my guy. I was adding clarification because the commenter I responded to claimed they had to be a US citizen to ride.