3 ms·
Great that you know the future when nobody else can.
by zombot 4mo ago
Great that you know the future when nobody else can.
- aspenmartin 4mo agoNo, I just have a prior that’s informed by real information and evidence and that’s quite strong. - scaling laws exist - downstream perf trends also exist (epoch capability index) - gpt4 to gpt5 leap in capabilities every 16-18 months - actual adoption and retention and engagement numbers are out of this world - RL with verifiable rewards will get you to super human performance even with poor sample efficiency - zero evidence of a plateau I don’t know the future I am just skeptically looking at the data. What data are you looking at?