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Companies ultimately don’t have a choice here. They can do what works, or they can fail. Large enough companies with enough inertia can do really dumb things

by Retric 4mo ago

Companies ultimately don’t have a choice here. They can do what works, or they can fail. Large enough companies with enough inertia can do really dumb things for a while, but even giants fall.

tonyhart7 4mo ago
or they just need really capable AI that are better than 99% human
- TheOtherHobbes 3mo ago
  If that ever happens the limiting factor will be management. Perhaps that's where it gets interesting.
wiether 4mo ago
I'm confused by your answer because I can't tell which way you're going. Are you saying companies have to mandate AI everywhere? Or are you saying the exact opposite, as your second sentence suggests? I haven't heard of AI mandates in small companies, only in big ones.
- delusional 4mo ago
  He's just making a general "efficient markets" argument. He's arguing that whatever happens in a couple of years will be the right thing, no matter what is happening now. That is essentially not an argument in any direction.
  - geon 3mo ago
    Inshallah
  - hdgvhicv 3mo ago
    It’s also one which ignores the “market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent”
lordkrandel 3mo ago
If it works. Where is this 100x software output? I just see more AI tools to check it does not derail, but where is the actual software revolution, where all developers are fired? I'm still closing AI PR slop here
- ben_w 3mo ago
  If it is 100x anything more interesting than line count, it will be micro-projects: Local barber wants a new website. Architecht wants to put their own plan into a numerical physics simulation library someone else wrote that has its own syntax. Schoolkid wants a customised word puzzle app for the foreign language they struggle with. They couldn't possibly code it themselves, but they can check what it is doing. Trust without verification though, we're waiting for AI's Challenger disaster equivalent.
- fragmede 3mo ago
  I'm not going to speak to the output side of your comment, but yes, developers are being fired over AI. > The latest layoffs across all tech companies. So far in 2026, there have been 421 layoffs at tech companies with 157,807 people impacted (882 people per day). In 2025, there were 783 layoffs at tech companies w/ 245,953 people impacted (674 people per day). https://www.trueup.io/layoffs https://www.trueup.io/layoffs
  - lordkrandel 3mo ago
    The fact that rich CEOs firing saying "it's because of AI" doesn't make it true. It's just marketing for investors

by Retric 4mo ago

Companies ultimately don’t have a choice here. They can do what works, or they can fail. Large enough companies with enough inertia can do really dumb things for a while, but even giants fall.

tonyhart7 4mo ago

or they just need really capable AI that are better than 99% human

TheOtherHobbes 3mo ago
If that ever happens the limiting factor will be management. Perhaps that's where it gets interesting.

wiether 4mo ago

I'm confused by your answer because I can't tell which way you're going. Are you saying companies have to mandate AI everywhere? Or are you saying the exact opposite, as your second sentence suggests? I haven't heard of AI mandates in small companies, only in big ones.

delusional 4mo ago
He's just making a general "efficient markets" argument. He's arguing that whatever happens in a couple of years will be the right thing, no matter what is happening now. That is essentially not an argument in any direction.
- geon 3mo ago
  Inshallah
- hdgvhicv 3mo ago
  It’s also one which ignores the “market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent”

lordkrandel 3mo ago

If it works. Where is this 100x software output? I just see more AI tools to check it does not derail, but where is the actual software revolution, where all developers are fired? I'm still closing AI PR slop here

ben_w 3mo ago
If it is 100x anything more interesting than line count, it will be micro-projects: Local barber wants a new website. Architecht wants to put their own plan into a numerical physics simulation library someone else wrote that has its own syntax. Schoolkid wants a customised word puzzle app for the foreign language they struggle with. They couldn't possibly code it themselves, but they can check what it is doing. Trust without verification though, we're waiting for AI's Challenger disaster equivalent.
fragmede 3mo ago
I'm not going to speak to the output side of your comment, but yes, developers are being fired over AI. > The latest layoffs across all tech companies. So far in 2026, there have been 421 layoffs at tech companies with 157,807 people impacted (882 people per day). In 2025, there were 783 layoffs at tech companies w/ 245,953 people impacted (674 people per day). https://www.trueup.io/layoffs https://www.trueup.io/layoffs
- lordkrandel 3mo ago
  The fact that rich CEOs firing saying "it's because of AI" doesn't make it true. It's just marketing for investors