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Imagine a future where Anthropic holds your company hostage because no one can code properly anymore by hand and demands paying 200% higher price for the usage.
by throwaw12 4mo ago
Imagine a future where Anthropic holds your company hostage because no one can code properly anymore by hand and demands paying 200% higher price for the usage.
What can your company do?
- root-parent 4mo ago>> What can your company do? Hire some Developers?
- exe34 4mo agoWhat exactly is a developer in a scenario where no one can code?
- npodbielski 4mo agoMe?
- exe34 4mo agoNo one can code. You can code. Are you no one?
- npodbielski 4mo agoOnly the Sith deal in absolutes
- exe34 4mo agoSounds like an absolute...
- npodbielski 4mo agoTouche!
- bluefirebrand 4mo agoAs long as I'm alive (and not senile) there will always be at least one developer who can code I'm not using AI coding tools yet, and even if they force me at gunpoint to use them at work no one can force me to in my spare time I'm not too worried about the case where no one can code anymore because that will be after I'm dead
- exe34 4mo agoThat wasn't the premise of the question.
- bluefirebrand 4mo agoMy answer to your question is "I don't care, because I'll be dead"
- claytongulick 4mo agoI guess that means there will be at least two of us.
- throwaw12 4mo agoDevelopers who can code without LLMs will go extinct in couple years and there will be legends about them, you should at least have some decent open weight model as a backup
- zarzavat 4mo agoWait a second kiddo, I expect to live longer than that.
- w29UiIm2Xz 4mo agoI'm not sure if I'd want to code without an LLM anymore. That said, there will always be open models.
- magpi3 4mo agoThere is something to be said for how the technology stack keeps growing for businesses and what this might mean for the future. Thirty years ago, you had an OS and you installed applications. No problem. Later, you had to build and use apps on the internet, an infrastructure that is susceptible to DDOS attacks, government firewalls, and other security risks. Still fine, sort of. Now, you not only have to build apps on the internet, you also have use LLMs to build apps to remain competitive with other developers. Future (human) maintainers of your code might not properly understand how it works, and if the providers of the LLMs screw up or go rogue, you are properly fucked. There is a dependency/technology stack debt that is creating risks that need to be acknowledged.
- tovej 4mo agoI don't plan on using LLMs for programming any time soon. And I know like one guy who does use them. He's not a developer by trade, he just has to write programs sometimes.
- root-parent 4mo agoFrom everybody will learn to code to ...nobody will know how to code...
- blourvim 4mo agoI would guess that they would want to at the very least 10x their prices. Remember they need to make up for training, marketing, etc.. and make a big chunk of profit on top of that to justify their trillion dollar evaluation
- throwaw12 4mo agodoing 2x 3 times already gets you almost 10x increase
- sam0x17 4mo ago[dead]
- brookst 4mo agoHire developers who will be happy to take merely 100% higher rates? Use an Anthropic competitor?
- dwa3592 4mo agothe company will switch to a different LLM vendor?? what does someone do when a certain brand coffee maker keeps breaking; they buy a different brand.
- kordlessagain 4mo agoNo need to make up speculative futures based on a company only giving one model to their employees. I use Codex, Antigravity, Claude and GLM-5.2 interchangeably. Any sensible employer will do the same.
- cube00 4mo ago> Any sensible employer will do the same. Hard to do when each individual provider wants to lock your company into multiyear enterprise contracts.
- MattGaiser 4mo agoYou can still have multiple contracts.
- tedd4u 4mo agoWon't it eventually be $1,000 or $5,000 a month? $5k a month would still be 97% less than many developers cost.
- Espressosaurus 4mo agoHow many developers are making 2 million a year? 400k isn’t crazy for the FANG set but it’s still a subset of the developer market and hundreds of thousands of those jobs have been cut in the last few years as they all collectively work to lower SWE pay. 60k a year it needs to be a full irreplaceable part of the infrastructure for I think. There are very few kinds of software that meet that bar right now (certain design tools etc that have no replacement). 12k/year is in the expensive but reasonable for the right tooling category (Matlab etc.). I don’t know what the future holds. I know the big AI companies are banking on being able to charge for a replacement SWE that works 24/7. Still not convinced these are it yet, as useful as they can be under the right circumstances.