4 ms·
Bluesky / AT is the most successful open social network in history and the only one to become culturally significant. It has been adopted by presidents, celebri
by jacobgold 4mo ago
Bluesky / AT is the most successful open social network in history and the only one to become culturally significant. It has been adopted by presidents, celebrities, journalists, and mainstream users.
Bluesky has ~50M registered users and has sustained ~5M monthly active users for long while. There's no reason to believe it will fall substantially below this level.
It is also in the process of adding (decentralized) subcommunities, which I expect to be really cool and have a large impact on growth.
- tptacek 4mo ago"Registered users" is a meaningless statistic. Daily active users has consistently declined.
- jacobgold 4mo agoI'd be the last person to downplay the fact that the Bluesky app has a serious retention problem. But it has "broken through" in an incredible way and DAUs/MAUs are quite stable. Registered users is not at all meaningless. Bluesky has those user's email addresses, the mobile app is still installed on many of their devices, they have accounts, and they can potentially be reactivated. For example, if Bluesky announced a feature exciting enough, like subcommunities, it could email those 50M users and possibly bootstrap a serious open network competitor to Reddit.
- ftfish 4mo agoA chunk of these registered users are apparently "ghost accounts" hosted on a PDS on a trump.com subdomain. https://bsky.app/profile/tyggero.cz/post/3moskpisnuc2t https://bsky.app/profile/tyggero.cz/post/3moskpisnuc2t Source: https://sifa.id/stats https://sifa.id/stats Statement from Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/pfrazee.com/post/3mmp27wwnic2j https://bsky.app/profile/pfrazee.com/post/3mmp27wwnic2j
- jacobgold 4mo agoBased on your comments, it seems like you're trying to spread FUD? The stats page you linked to explains exactly what's going on. These spam PLC identities have nothing to do with with the tens of millions of real Bluesky registered users. Either you misunderstood or you're being intentionally dishonest.
- ftfish 4mo agoNever said that, though, plus provided sources. Just adding context for what the total number of users means.
- jacobgold 4mo agoYou still seem to be implying the number of real registered users on Bluesky isn't ~50M, which it is. The PLC identity spam you referenced is not being counted in this number.
- ftfish 4mo agoIf that's the case, then I stand corrected, but a source for that claim would be helpful.
- jacobgold 4mo agoI was rounding up, the actual number is ~45 million: https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats https://bsky.jazco.dev/stats (these stats are based on real activity, not PLC identities) At current rate it will 50M in 6 months.
- likpok 4mo agoWhy do you project 10% growth over the next 6 months? Looking at the other metrics on that page which have history (total unique likers, posters, followers), the numbers are flat or declining. That shape doesn’t seem great for a social media company.
- tptacek 4mo agoI don't believe the firm behind Bluesky can go to an investor and say "look at all these email addresses we have" and raise on that.
- jacobgold 4mo agoOf course investors care about registered users, for the same reason I explained. But yeah, they do care a lot more about retention and growth rate for good reason. Bluesky Social, PBC has raised $120M+ dollars from investors.