I'm not following your logic here. Are you basing your predictions on the predictions of CEOs? If I understand you correctly you are saying, CEOs predicted X a

I'm not following your logic here. Are you basing your predictions on the predictions of CEOs? If I understand you correctly you are saying, CEOs predicted X and they were wrong. Now CEOs are predicting Y, and since they were wrong about X you predict they are also wrong about Y. But Y's success seems independent of other people's ability to predict X?