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> Because I would gladly take the other side at even odds. If you’re only giving even odds you’re not very confident in openAI at all. $15 billion is peanuts.
by sarchertech 4mo ago
> Because I would gladly take the other side at even odds.
If you’re only giving even odds you’re not very confident in openAI at all. $15 billion is peanuts.
- wrsh07 4mo agoI don't have to give them better odds then they'll accept It's a steal at even odds It's still positive EV at much worse odds but not worth my time
- sarchertech 4mo ago1. They didn’t accept those odds. 2. You can’t know whether it’s worth your time or not since you don’t know how much the wager was for. If you’re 99% confident, 10:1 odds with a 10x larger bet is still a steal. My guess is your confidence is somewhere just north of 50%.