4 ms·
Honestly? It's really hard to say for sure. My gut feeling is "probably yes", but it's hard to guess what the future holds. When I was your age (25 years ago,
by bigstrat2003 5mo ago
Honestly? It's really hard to say for sure. My gut feeling is "probably yes", but it's hard to guess what the future holds.
When I was your age (25 years ago, give or take), outsourcing jobs to cheap Indian companies was all the rage. Adults at the time advised me to not learn programming, because there would be no future in it. But it turned out that the cheap labor also did pretty poor quality work, so over time companies reversed course and hired more local devs.
I believe that we're going to see something similar with AI. While it's fast, AI does a significantly worse job programming than humans do. That seems unlikely to change (because it hasn't yet), so that means you have to carefully review everything it does. In turn, that means that the supposed productivity gains just aren't there (they are slim at best). On top of that, right now AI companies are selling their product at a loss, hoping to make people reliant on them and then raise prices. So we have no idea what the price is going to be for those slim productivity gains. I believe that as companies come to realize this, they will reduce their usage of AI tools and rely on humans more.
But while I believe myself to be correct, I might not be. The hard truth is that nobody knows what the future holds, and no matter what you choose to do with your career there's no such thing as a "safe" job that you can guarantee you will work the rest of your life. Just do your best to place your bets based on the situation today, and be ready to change your plans as the situation changes.