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I wish we would start paying proportional attention to business news, instead of treating AI (or any other "cutting edge") companies as economy-defining and giv
by smugglerFlynn 5mo ago
I wish we would start paying proportional attention to business news, instead of treating AI (or any other "cutting edge") companies as economy-defining and giving these 50+% of the attention.
It is especially telling if we try to list out all the psychological biases at play:
- Availability & salience bias - vivid, memorable things feel more important than they are
- Narrative bias - humans tend to think in stories, and AI tells plenty
- Recency and novelty bias — new things feel more consequential than established ones (this one already drives like 80% of all HN content btw)
- Proportionality neglect - people are bad at intuitively grasping what percentages mean, even if they see the stats
- Social proof and reflexivity - coverage signals importance, and drives more coverage
- Status quo invisibility - things that work reliably become invisible (surprisingly, HN is really good in terms of working against this bias, I feel like at least 5% of all posts are some niche "inner daily workings" topics)
- Speculation premium in attention - uncertainty generates more discussion than certainty
- In-group signaling - cutting-edge things are status markers among influencers
- rtkwe 5mo agoOn the other hand if you remove the gains from AI related companies the bull market basically disappears. [0] It makes up a small part of the market over all but if the market had been trading sideways for 3+ months people would be feeling quite differently about the economy. [0] https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/ai-is-carrying-the-sp-500-rally-chart-of-the-day-100000546.html https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/ai-is-carrying-the...