I think on the scale of 5 years, the current political trends will still have more influence. Trump getting a third term, dying, or both. Reform possibly winn

I think on the scale of 5 years, the current political trends will still have more influence. Trump getting a third term, dying, or both. Reform possibly winning a UK election. How long Putin lives. These are quite significant influences. AI itself will change massively in that time, but the way it changes the world will take longer to manifest.