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You'll find that Americans tend to vastly overestimate how much people in Taiwan actually think about the threat of China. Is there a threat? Yea. But its likel

You'll find that Americans tend to vastly overestimate how much people in Taiwan actually think about the threat of China. Is there a threat? Yea. But its likelihood is very much still unknown. In the meantime, Taiwan offers a pretty excellent quality of life, and it's a great option to have in your back pocket, if you're fortunate enough to have a legal pathway to live there.

burnerRhodov3 5mo ago
[flagged]
- the_gastropod 5mo ago
  Lol. I don't know why I'm responding to an account with "I like Elon and Trump, and don't feel ashamed for it." in it, but what the hell.. Let's do it: 1. That Xi quote is, as best I can tell, not real. Want to share a source if you've got one? Best I can tell, it's a bad reference to the Davidson window? (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davidson_window https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davidson_window). For fun, here's a key line from this Wikipedia page: "The Center for Strategic and International Studies found 83% of China experts reject that China plans kinetic action against Taiwan by 2027. Representative Jim Himes called 2027 invasion scenarios 'really dumb' given economic costs." 2. Since 1949, Taiwan has had mandatory 1-3 year military service for all but 5 years (2019-2024). In 2022, they decided to resume 1 year military service starting in 2024. 3. History buffs may recall the PRC and the ROC have a history of conflict. Maintaining military preparedness is par for the course for Taiwanese history. All this to say: a threat does exist (which I acknowledged in my post you've very much miscategorized). This same threat has existed throughout Taiwan's history. The government (rightfully) treats it with importance. But day-to-day Taiwanese citizens aren't losing any sleep over this. The likelihood of a Chinese military invasion is exceedingly slim. It would be an almost certain blunder for China to attempt something so bold for a litany of reasons. If you've never been to Taiwan, you should check it out. It's a lovely place. While there, ask someone if they're worried about China invading. 95% chance they laugh, and comment that that's such an American question. And then tell you "no".
xboxnolifes 5mo ago
In the last year, there might be more Canadians worried about an invading neighbor than Thaiwanese.

burnerRhodov3 5mo ago

[flagged]

the_gastropod 5mo ago
Lol. I don't know why I'm responding to an account with "I like Elon and Trump, and don't feel ashamed for it." in it, but what the hell.. Let's do it: 1. That Xi quote is, as best I can tell, not real. Want to share a source if you've got one? Best I can tell, it's a bad reference to the Davidson window? (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davidson_window https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davidson_window). For fun, here's a key line from this Wikipedia page: "The Center for Strategic and International Studies found 83% of China experts reject that China plans kinetic action against Taiwan by 2027. Representative Jim Himes called 2027 invasion scenarios 'really dumb' given economic costs." 2. Since 1949, Taiwan has had mandatory 1-3 year military service for all but 5 years (2019-2024). In 2022, they decided to resume 1 year military service starting in 2024. 3. History buffs may recall the PRC and the ROC have a history of conflict. Maintaining military preparedness is par for the course for Taiwanese history. All this to say: a threat does exist (which I acknowledged in my post you've very much miscategorized). This same threat has existed throughout Taiwan's history. The government (rightfully) treats it with importance. But day-to-day Taiwanese citizens aren't losing any sleep over this. The likelihood of a Chinese military invasion is exceedingly slim. It would be an almost certain blunder for China to attempt something so bold for a litany of reasons. If you've never been to Taiwan, you should check it out. It's a lovely place. While there, ask someone if they're worried about China invading. 95% chance they laugh, and comment that that's such an American question. And then tell you "no".

xboxnolifes 5mo ago

In the last year, there might be more Canadians worried about an invading neighbor than Thaiwanese.