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Even if you are a plumber and we don’t automate plumbing, you’ll have half the population displaced and switching to plumbing. Everything that isn’t automated w
by Gigachad 5mo ago
Even if you are a plumber and we don’t automate plumbing, you’ll have half the population displaced and switching to plumbing. Everything that isn’t automated will be over saturated.
- rzmmm 5mo agoOr average joe becomes DIY plumber with help of chatGPT and there is a lot less demand for plumbers then.
- Gigachad 5mo agoChatGPT is probably less useful than youtube for this kind of stuff.
- kjkjadksj 5mo agoHow does average joe afford the tools and parts they need with no job employing them?
- weatherlite 5mo agoHow does he afford a plumber then ...?
- selcuka 5mo agoThat's the point. Plumbers will be broke, too, because people who are supposed to hire them will not have jobs.
- jusssi 5mo agoWhen we continue this line of thought far enough, we get to ask who's going to pay for the hardware and the electricity to run the AI that's taking all the jobs.
- soco 5mo agoThis is exactly the missing long-term perspective. All AI creators are focused either on the projected wins or the shiny technology, ignoring societal effects. Not that they should, they are engineers or MBAs after all, but somebody should. Somebody like us, or better somebody with better reach and better knowledge, should figure out a way to offer a future also to former clerks.
- weatherlite 5mo agoI don't get how this didn't become yet a major election topic in most democracies. It's business as usual mostly.
- azinman2 5mo agoBecause humans are bad at reacting to things that might happen; we’re far better once there is a literal crisis.
- taneq 5mo agoWhere I live, just the call out fee for a plumber would cover the cost of tools and materials with enough left over for beers afterwards. If you’re relatively handy and willing to thing things through, the main obstacle to doing all your own plumbing (again, at least where I live) is regulatory capture.
- gspr 5mo agoI don't think the reason that most people don't DIY plumbing is a lack of accessible information. Any physical craft like that requires practice, so I think there's a real moat there.
- fingerlocks 5mo agoThere is a lot less information online about the physical trades compared to software development. Plumbers don’t post on ToiletOverflow.com all day helping each other with their little tricks and sharing tribal knowledge. Pick a random brass fitting at the hardware store and try to google its purpose; you’d be surprised by the scant detail even when yielding plenty of shopping links
- gspr 5mo agoFair point. Also: > ToiletOverflow.com Applause!
- weatherlite 5mo agoWill so many people switch to plumbing though ? Really depends on how old you are when you get canned (I don't think its realistic for most 40 year olds to start a plumbing career), how good you are with your hands and physical things and whether you can survive the switch psychologically; I don't see many investment bankers or software devs survive such a switch. I'm 42, even if I was very good with my hands (which I'm not) I don't think it would have been a realistic transition; by realistic I mean survivable psychologically.
- soco 5mo agoSo people will not all switch to plumbing, indeed. But then to what? There's only so much need for tattoo artists and geriatric care - which your customers must also afford to pay.
- weatherlite 5mo agoYep. I don't have good answers and neither do our politicians. Things will have to change rather radically.
- overgard 5mo agoOur sinks will never clog again, at least.