What's that saying that goes something like "People tend to vastly overestimate the impact of technology in the short run, and vastly underestimate its impact i

What's that saying that goes something like "People tend to vastly overestimate the impact of technology in the short run, and vastly underestimate its impact in the long run." A lot of these comments here are making feel disdain for both extremes of the debate. I agree that AI has been used as an excuse for a lot of layoffs, but it also unambiguously has resulted in real layoffs - the Washington Post ran an article years ago, a few months after ChatGPT came out, about how some copywriters had been replaced by AI. The technology isn't magic, it has limitations, but it's not that hard to see a large percentage of current jobs being made obsolete by AI - the BLS has already identified many such roles; https://www.inc.com/soren-kaplan/the-bureau-of-labor-statistics-just-flagged-18-jobs-ai-is-already-shrinking-is-yours-on-the-list/91346529 https://www.inc.com/soren-kaplan/the-bureau-of-labor-statist... I don't think it will kill all white color jobs, but on the other side, declaring it a nothing burger seems like a lot of willful blindness given it already has replaced some people and AI's capabilities have grown legions since then.