5 ms·

My only complaint is the claims always start spreading 6-12 months before the delivery. A little patience goes a long way in what's possible with AI and we all

My only complaint is the claims always start spreading 6-12 months before the delivery. A little patience goes a long way in what's possible with AI and we all just have to wait and see what parts actually grow this next cycle or not. Guessing at it based on trend lines only leads to people getting excited when it matches their particular guess and ignoring it when it doesn't.

melagonster 5mo ago
They said that their specific version of model had has this ability one year ago.
- zamadatix 5mo ago
  I can't open all of the links in the article because of some Cloudflare issue (perhaps related to me being on a plane) but is the version and sub iteration of the model they actually used for this the same as the one they announced the capability on a year ago? If so, did they comment why didn't they just show this a year ago (they seem to have been publishing successively better results slowly instead).
  - melagonster 5mo ago
    In my memory, it was OpenAI o1. OpenAI o1 was released in September 2024. It seems the difference came from the difference between benchmark performance and propagation.
no-name-here 5mo ago
>> OpenAI said their models will have "PhD-Level Intelligence" > My only complaint is the claims always start spreading 6-12 months before the delivery. If delivering on such promises "always" occurs 6-12 months after the promise, is that pretty good?
- zamadatix 5mo ago
  Again, the promise isn't _always_ delivered, people just more often focus on when the particular result aligns with their view. When it is though, it's all too commonly 6-12 months later. Which is nice but a bit annoying - why not wait 6-12 months and claim when you can actually show it? Or just say that's where it might be soon instead of talking like it is now. I generally like AI and use it plenty often, it does many things well and I'm curious to see how far it keeps going, but that doesn't mean I have to like overhyped marketing about it.

melagonster 5mo ago

They said that their specific version of model had has this ability one year ago.

zamadatix 5mo ago
I can't open all of the links in the article because of some Cloudflare issue (perhaps related to me being on a plane) but is the version and sub iteration of the model they actually used for this the same as the one they announced the capability on a year ago? If so, did they comment why didn't they just show this a year ago (they seem to have been publishing successively better results slowly instead).
- melagonster 5mo ago
  In my memory, it was OpenAI o1. OpenAI o1 was released in September 2024. It seems the difference came from the difference between benchmark performance and propagation.

no-name-here 5mo ago

>> OpenAI said their models will have "PhD-Level Intelligence" > My only complaint is the claims always start spreading 6-12 months before the delivery. If delivering on such promises "always" occurs 6-12 months after the promise, is that pretty good?

zamadatix 5mo ago
Again, the promise isn't _always_ delivered, people just more often focus on when the particular result aligns with their view. When it is though, it's all too commonly 6-12 months later. Which is nice but a bit annoying - why not wait 6-12 months and claim when you can actually show it? Or just say that's where it might be soon instead of talking like it is now. I generally like AI and use it plenty often, it does many things well and I'm curious to see how far it keeps going, but that doesn't mean I have to like overhyped marketing about it.