From the article: > Being dismissive of Trump’s chances early on in the Republican primary was the biggest analytical mistake of my career, and I think I deser

From the article: > Being dismissive of Trump’s chances early on in the Republican primary was the biggest analytical mistake of my career, and I think I deserved a lot of blame for that. He went on to write a whole retrospective, which is exactly what you'd want to see: https://web.archive.org/web/20160527093831/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/ https://web.archive.org/web/20160527093831/https://fivethirt... So unless your standard is "pollsters must be perfect at all times", I dunno what else should be asked of Silver here.