3 ms·

I am certainly missing a lot of nuance here, but it seems to me Nate Silver managed to have his cake and eat it too. He surely got good money for selling FiveTh

I am certainly missing a lot of nuance here, but it seems to me Nate Silver managed to have his cake and eat it too. He surely got good money for selling FiveThirtyEight, and now that the buyer has erased the product, Nate can get back a huge chunk of its readers since he offers very similar analyses on his personal site. Sure, natesilver.net has less brand recognition than fivethirtyeight.com, but it's still decently well-known and can only go up from here.

its-summertime 5mo ago
I think the nuance is that it is notable historical articles about predictions and discussions of political elections, during a time when politics is quite at the fore-front of many people's minds
xattt 5mo ago
It’s possible NS may have signed a contract saying that he cannot engage in elections prediction for X YZ months to same extent that he did with FiveThirtyEight.
- derektank 5mo ago
  He didn’t. He retained the IP of his election forecast models and he publishes the results from them on his newsletter, The Silver Bulletin
  - xattt 5mo ago
    That’s a relief!
JumpCrisscross 5mo ago
> Nate can get back a huge chunk of its readers The downside is this furthers the divide between folks who pay for subscriptions and masses who get shoveled ad-powered slop.
- jnovek 5mo ago
  He put up a substantial number of articles for free during the 2024 election, it felt less paywalled than much of the MSM these days.
  - PaulHoule 5mo ago
    He puts up a substantial number of articles today for free.
- shagie 5mo ago
  https://electoral-vote.com https://electoral-vote.com is still up, running, and showing data. It has always been free and ad free. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral-vote.com https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral-vote.com > Electoral-vote.com is a website created by computer scientist Andrew S. Tanenbaum. The site's primary content was originally poll analysis to project election outcomes. Since the 2016 elections, the site also has featured daily commentary on political news stories.
iamnothere 5mo ago
He may also finally shake off the comment trolls who piled onto him after 2016, seemingly blaming him for the election results (absurd but people are absurd). After that election, a certain group would tirelessly work to discredit him any time his election predictions were not entirely one-sided.
- beepbopboopp 5mo ago
  It was so funny, he mostly predicted the election correctly, but people confused probabilistic forecasting for sports lines.
gaws 5mo ago
> He surely got good money for selling FiveThirtyEight Yes, he did: https://www.crainsnewyork.com/real-estate/residential/cny-nate-silver-buys-noho-condo-20260501/ https://www.crainsnewyork.com/real-estate/residential/cny-na...

its-summertime 5mo ago

I think the nuance is that it is notable historical articles about predictions and discussions of political elections, during a time when politics is quite at the fore-front of many people's minds

xattt 5mo ago

It’s possible NS may have signed a contract saying that he cannot engage in elections prediction for X YZ months to same extent that he did with FiveThirtyEight.

derektank 5mo ago
He didn’t. He retained the IP of his election forecast models and he publishes the results from them on his newsletter, The Silver Bulletin
- xattt 5mo ago
  That’s a relief!

JumpCrisscross 5mo ago

> Nate can get back a huge chunk of its readers The downside is this furthers the divide between folks who pay for subscriptions and masses who get shoveled ad-powered slop.

jnovek 5mo ago
He put up a substantial number of articles for free during the 2024 election, it felt less paywalled than much of the MSM these days.
- PaulHoule 5mo ago
  He puts up a substantial number of articles today for free.
shagie 5mo ago
https://electoral-vote.com https://electoral-vote.com is still up, running, and showing data. It has always been free and ad free. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral-vote.com https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral-vote.com > Electoral-vote.com is a website created by computer scientist Andrew S. Tanenbaum. The site's primary content was originally poll analysis to project election outcomes. Since the 2016 elections, the site also has featured daily commentary on political news stories.

iamnothere 5mo ago

He may also finally shake off the comment trolls who piled onto him after 2016, seemingly blaming him for the election results (absurd but people are absurd). After that election, a certain group would tirelessly work to discredit him any time his election predictions were not entirely one-sided.

beepbopboopp 5mo ago
It was so funny, he mostly predicted the election correctly, but people confused probabilistic forecasting for sports lines.

gaws 5mo ago

> He surely got good money for selling FiveThirtyEight Yes, he did: https://www.crainsnewyork.com/real-estate/residential/cny-nate-silver-buys-noho-condo-20260501/ https://www.crainsnewyork.com/real-estate/residential/cny-na...