> NOAA has now placed the probability of a Super El Niño forming by winter at over 95%. This claim appears to be false. According to this article's own source,

> NOAA has now placed the probability of a Super El Niño forming by winter at over 95%. This claim appears to be false. According to this article's own source, the probability of an El Niño of any severity forming is over 95%, but there is still "substantial uncertainty" about what that severity is going to be. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/e...