3 ms·
The Mysterious Crypto Judges Who Settle Polymarket Disputes
- 7777777phil 5mo agoCommenting here since this is somewhat related to the research (1) I have been doing lately: UMA is one transparency layer. The bigger one is the public WebSocket feed itself, which broadcasts post-match book state but hides taker identity. So trade direction inferred from the feed only hits 59% sign agreement vs on-chain ground truth.. that breaks six standard microstructure measures (effective spread, Kyle's lambda, Amihud, etc.) on most top-100 markets. I believe any Polymarket research that depends on direction should to source it from on-chain OrderFilled events, not the feed.