3 ms·

Brexit won't be reversed, as much as I hate it. Best can be done is EEA membership ad well.

by cromka 5mo ago

ben_w 5mo ago
While I think it's not coming any time soon*, Canada's current economic alignment with the US makes them sufficiently far from being a sensible EU candidate that the UK rejoining is still in many senses closer. Not close, neither is in the foreseeable future, though the future is exceptionally foggy right now. * at a minimum, I'd expect a reversal of Brexit needing both that polls show at least 2:1 in favour sustained for a year, and also that anti-EU parties like Reform weren't one of the top two polling parties
- vrganj 5mo ago
  I think the one scenario that could work for Brejoin is if Labour rebranded itself as the rejoin party to stave off the threat from the Greens. The Remain contingent is lost anyways. The other side of the electorate is turned off by their waffling. This would give them a cause to rally around and allow them to consolidate their electorate again. With enough Brexit voters now either dead (they skewed old!) or having changed their mind, plus younger folks that weren't eligible to vote back then being very pro-EU, that might just do it.
- bcrl 5mo ago
  The US' ongoing hostility towards Canada is decimating the relationship. The auto sector chaos inflicted by the US has destroyed decades of cross-border integration that benefited both countries, and it is now resulting in the cancellation of major projects (like the Honda $15 billion dollar Ontario EV project being scrapped). The trust Canada had shared with the US as relationship that benefited both countries is gone. The sad thing is that the relationship probably cannot be rebuilt anytime soon. It will take decades to restore trust that was damaged in a few short years. Canada is forced to diversify and build closer relationships with less volatile nations across the world. This is probably good for Canada in the long term.
  - ben_w 5mo ago
    Indeed. But EU membership? Even at speed and with mutual will on both sides, I would expect it to be the work of 7-10 years to get past all the hurdles to Canada becoming a full member of the EU. Even just in car manufacturing, while getting stability would help eventually, in the short term I would expect anything like this to add more chaos just by changing from US-centric to EU-centric rules; and then add agriculture, fishing, etc.

Brexit won't be reversed, as much as I hate it. Best can be done is EEA membership ad well.

by cromka 5mo ago

Brexit won't be reversed, as much as I hate it. Best can be done is EEA membership ad well.

ben_w 5mo ago

While I think it's not coming any time soon*, Canada's current economic alignment with the US makes them sufficiently far from being a sensible EU candidate that the UK rejoining is still in many senses closer. Not close, neither is in the foreseeable future, though the future is exceptionally foggy right now. * at a minimum, I'd expect a reversal of Brexit needing both that polls show at least 2:1 in favour sustained for a year, and also that anti-EU parties like Reform weren't one of the top two polling parties

vrganj 5mo ago
I think the one scenario that could work for Brejoin is if Labour rebranded itself as the rejoin party to stave off the threat from the Greens. The Remain contingent is lost anyways. The other side of the electorate is turned off by their waffling. This would give them a cause to rally around and allow them to consolidate their electorate again. With enough Brexit voters now either dead (they skewed old!) or having changed their mind, plus younger folks that weren't eligible to vote back then being very pro-EU, that might just do it.
bcrl 5mo ago
The US' ongoing hostility towards Canada is decimating the relationship. The auto sector chaos inflicted by the US has destroyed decades of cross-border integration that benefited both countries, and it is now resulting in the cancellation of major projects (like the Honda $15 billion dollar Ontario EV project being scrapped). The trust Canada had shared with the US as relationship that benefited both countries is gone. The sad thing is that the relationship probably cannot be rebuilt anytime soon. It will take decades to restore trust that was damaged in a few short years. Canada is forced to diversify and build closer relationships with less volatile nations across the world. This is probably good for Canada in the long term.
- ben_w 5mo ago
  Indeed. But EU membership? Even at speed and with mutual will on both sides, I would expect it to be the work of 7-10 years to get past all the hurdles to Canada becoming a full member of the EU. Even just in car manufacturing, while getting stability would help eventually, in the short term I would expect anything like this to add more chaos just by changing from US-centric to EU-centric rules; and then add agriculture, fishing, etc.