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We're talking about artificial intelligence. Making computers think the way people do. People are are notoriously miscalibrated on their own self-assessed proba
by adastra22 5mo ago
We're talking about artificial intelligence. Making computers think the way people do. People are are notoriously miscalibrated on their own self-assessed probabilities too.
Finding a way to objectively calibrate a sense of "how confident do I feel about this?" would be fantastic. But let's not move goal posts. It would still be incredibly useful to have a machine that can merely matches the equivalent statement of confidence or uncertainty that a human would assign to their mental model, even if badly calibrated.
- D-Machine 5mo agoIMO it is you who are moving the goalposts, most likely in an attempt to hide the fact you were unaware of calibration before this discussion. > It would still be incredibly useful to have a machine that can merely matches the equivalent statement of confidence or uncertainty that a human would assign to their mental model, even if badly calibrated. If human feelings are badly calibrated, they are useless here too, so no, I don't agree. Things like "confidence" only matter if they are actually tied to real outcomes in a consistent way, and that means calibration.
- adastra22 5mo agoPlease assume good faith.