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I suspect the biggest effect will be that American companies will offshore more of their work (instead of bringing in the workers on H-1B visas) or open more no

by sameers 5mo ago

I suspect the biggest effect will be that American companies will offshore more of their work (instead of bringing in the workers on H-1B visas) or open more non-US IT offices. Universities will open more programs in foreign countries to manage the loss in revenue and to help with the credentialing peoblem. I would like to imagine this motivates them to invest in training native-born workers, but I really can't see that happening, given how they've operated the last 30-40 years.

sameers 5mo ago
Sorry to reply to myself but this was just so timely. This - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48100005 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48100005 - is the kind of thing that I think will accelerate. Companies currently usually have a mix of salaried (citizen) workers with an H-1B force acting as support. If companies can't bring that support staff in any more, because of these restrictions, then local staff become more expensive to support - they can't get as much done without this "glue" staff around. If all of the support is now in the offshore location, GM might find it better to beef up managerial/architect presence in offshore locations. If the H1B program had been dominated by say nurses, there is a substitution effect of needing to find and train local (citizen) staff because of the onsite nature of the job. But that's not what IT work is like.