4 ms·

We will know when aliens are here when a new Polymarket account bets $10M on "aliens about to be discovered".

by ks2048 6mo ago

nycdatasci 6mo ago
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027 https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens...
- MostlyStable 6mo ago
  According to the resolution criteria, I would say that that market should trade much much higher than OP's hypothetical market. Any governmental agency stating that "Extraterrestrial life exists" would count. NASA/Seti finding evidence of algae on an exo planet or Io or something counts.
  - sandworm101 6mo ago
    Which has already happened. Clinton basically announced the discovery of life on mars back in the 90s. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pHhZQWAtWyQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pHhZQWAtWyQ
    - trunkiedozer 6mo ago
      A visionary
    - georgemcbay 6mo ago
      Related fun-fact: This real announcement (with some edited visuals to make it look like he was delivering it inside the White House press room) was used in the movie Contact to seem related to the more extraordinary discovery of alien intelligence that was portrayed in that movie. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=obrBARvWtiA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=obrBARvWtiA The White House objected to this use at the time, but never took any sort of legal action to have it removed or anything AFAIK.
    - naruhodo 6mo ago
      It didn't pan out though. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allan_Hills_84001 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allan_Hills_84001
  - krferriter 6mo ago
    I agree, it needs to be more specific. Like: "NASA, ESA, and Roscosmos all confirm definitive concrete proof, and publish this proof, for the presence of organisms, or technology created by organisms, which originated from outside Earth's atmosphere, and was present within Earth's hill sphere at some point since 1900."
- idontwantthis 6mo ago
  Can I put $1 million on no? How much will I earn?
  - skinfaxi 6mo ago
    $218000
- keyle 6mo ago
  The truth is out there! One cent at a time.
kilroy123 6mo ago
I hate how true this is.
gosub100 6mo ago
I want a polymarket for "epstein files released"
noisy_boy 6mo ago
Payout denied on the grounds of what "about to be" means.

We will know when aliens are here when a new Polymarket account bets $10M on "aliens about to be discovered".

by ks2048 6mo ago

We will know when aliens are here when a new Polymarket account bets $10M on "aliens about to be discovered".

https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027 https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens...

MostlyStable 6mo ago
According to the resolution criteria, I would say that that market should trade much much higher than OP's hypothetical market. Any governmental agency stating that "Extraterrestrial life exists" would count. NASA/Seti finding evidence of algae on an exo planet or Io or something counts.
- sandworm101 6mo ago
  Which has already happened. Clinton basically announced the discovery of life on mars back in the 90s. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pHhZQWAtWyQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pHhZQWAtWyQ
  - trunkiedozer 6mo ago
    A visionary
  - georgemcbay 6mo ago
    Related fun-fact: This real announcement (with some edited visuals to make it look like he was delivering it inside the White House press room) was used in the movie Contact to seem related to the more extraordinary discovery of alien intelligence that was portrayed in that movie. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=obrBARvWtiA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=obrBARvWtiA The White House objected to this use at the time, but never took any sort of legal action to have it removed or anything AFAIK.
  - naruhodo 6mo ago
    It didn't pan out though. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allan_Hills_84001 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allan_Hills_84001
- krferriter 6mo ago
  I agree, it needs to be more specific. Like: "NASA, ESA, and Roscosmos all confirm definitive concrete proof, and publish this proof, for the presence of organisms, or technology created by organisms, which originated from outside Earth's atmosphere, and was present within Earth's hill sphere at some point since 1900."
idontwantthis 6mo ago
Can I put $1 million on no? How much will I earn?
- skinfaxi 6mo ago
  $218000
keyle 6mo ago
The truth is out there! One cent at a time.

kilroy123 6mo ago

I hate how true this is.

gosub100 6mo ago

I want a polymarket for "epstein files released"

noisy_boy 6mo ago

Payout denied on the grounds of what "about to be" means.