3 ms·

1 in 4.72 × 10²⁸ 1 in 47.3 octillion. i'd be suspecting a race condition or some other naive mistake, otherwise id be stocking up on lottery tickets. (lol at

by serf 5mo ago

1 in 4.72 × 10²⁸ 1 in 47.3 octillion. i'd be suspecting a race condition or some other naive mistake, otherwise id be stocking up on lottery tickets. (lol at the other user posting at the same time about the lottery ticket.. great minds and all that.)

petee 5mo ago
I've always looked at it the the other way - being that lucky would mean you have even less chance of something else lucky happening, good time to save your money
k4rli 5mo ago
The lottery ticket part makes no sense. Statistically if such an improbable event just happened to him, then chance of it happening again should be even more improbable.
- jaccola 5mo ago
  The chance of him winning the lottery is identical to before, however the reward if he wins is slightly greater. He would win the lottery money + he gets to tell people who don’t understand independence this incredible story!
- sowbug 5mo ago
  This is probably (ha) a troll thread, but in case anyone here is among today's lucky (ha) 10,000, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability_theory) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability_theo...
- angoragoats 5mo ago
  No, the events are independent. If you have a UUID collide, your chance of winning the lottery if you enter it is exactly the same as it was before the UUID collision.
  - georgemcbay 5mo ago
    > If you have a UUID collide, your chance of winning the lottery is exactly the same as it was before the UUID collision. True, but only if you were already going to play the lottery anyway. If you don't normally play the lottery and the UUID collision combined with superstition is what enticed you to play, then the UUID collision will have raised your chances of winning the lottery from 0% to slightly higher than 0%.
    - angoragoats 5mo ago
      Colloquially, when I say "your chance of winning the lottery" what I mean is "your chance of winning the lottery given that you enter." And I think you probably know this. But I've updated my post to be clear.

by serf 5mo ago

petee 5mo ago

I've always looked at it the the other way - being that lucky would mean you have even less chance of something else lucky happening, good time to save your money

k4rli 5mo ago

The lottery ticket part makes no sense. Statistically if such an improbable event just happened to him, then chance of it happening again should be even more improbable.

jaccola 5mo ago
The chance of him winning the lottery is identical to before, however the reward if he wins is slightly greater. He would win the lottery money + he gets to tell people who don’t understand independence this incredible story!
sowbug 5mo ago
This is probably (ha) a troll thread, but in case anyone here is among today's lucky (ha) 10,000, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability_theory) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_(probability_theo...
angoragoats 5mo ago
No, the events are independent. If you have a UUID collide, your chance of winning the lottery if you enter it is exactly the same as it was before the UUID collision.
- georgemcbay 5mo ago
  > If you have a UUID collide, your chance of winning the lottery is exactly the same as it was before the UUID collision. True, but only if you were already going to play the lottery anyway. If you don't normally play the lottery and the UUID collision combined with superstition is what enticed you to play, then the UUID collision will have raised your chances of winning the lottery from 0% to slightly higher than 0%.
  - angoragoats 5mo ago
    Colloquially, when I say "your chance of winning the lottery" what I mean is "your chance of winning the lottery given that you enter." And I think you probably know this. But I've updated my post to be clear.