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Of course it's next. It's just a matter of time. This is obviously the natural life cycle of internet forums, and has been since the beginning. Story quality i

Of course it's next. It's just a matter of time. This is obviously the natural life cycle of internet forums, and has been since the beginning. Story quality is directly linked to user growth. When you have a small niche site with "niche-expert" users, you get a high interest and visible actions; as the site grows, individual actions matter less, the niche is expanded into those that may only have a casual interest in the topic, and the forum inevitability changes to meet the needs of the average user - which is not the same type of user that previously existed. As the more windows are broken, the more "decay" is introduced into the forum. But the site is doing exactly what it's supposed to do - mirror the average demographic. It's that demographic that changes. You simply cannot grow a website like this and maintain a niche focus. So if you choose to welcome more and more people, this is the end result. The sites that have been successful at maintaining focus control either the story submission (/.) or the entry of users (MeFi). Sites like HN and reddit need to limit growth the same way a small startup shouldn't focus on growth per se if they want to retain that particular environment. How to do this successfully is another problem altogether.

pg 18y ago
Of course it's next. It's just a matter of time. One can always claim this about something that hasn't happened yet. But it's already been two years and 15x growth and the sky has not fallen. So you could just as easily argue that what has saved us so far (killing fluff stories, insisting on civility in comment threads) will continue to work.
- run4yourlives 18y ago
  I'm not suggesting that the "sky will fall", I'm suggesting that it is inevitable that this site will change if it continues to grow, user count wise. To suggest it hasn't evolved and changed from it's original state is disingenuous really. (Not that you are doing that, specifically) Digg and reddit have turned into a glorified dorm room because that's what their average user is, a male college kid. Clearly, many people do feel the user base of this site changing - we wouldn't be commenting on this thread were this not the case. It's not a good/bad thing, as it means you've chosen to broaden your base as opposed to remain niche. There's nothing wrong with that. But at some point, you hit the magical land where the average user demographic has changed so much that the tipping point is passed.
  - unalone 18y ago
    Digg and Reddit also make no attempt to welcome new users and to bring them up to the standards of the site. The people who've been here for longer than a few months all try to get new users up-to-speed. As a result, HN's wavered once or twice after really big traffic hits, but I haven't seen noticeable lowering of quality yet - that may be a sign that things will still stand. (I will note, however, that a lot more disagreeable trends have shown up over time: OS-bashing, obsession over one or two services in a given field. It's not awful, and it can always be avoided, but it's present now.)
    - run4yourlives 18y ago
      One should not confuse the rate of change with the question of whether or not such change is actually occurring. In other words, I think HN needs more than casual self policing to buck the trend, even if it doesn't really seem too bad at the moment.
      - unalone 18y ago
        It may seem casual, but remember that this is a benevolent dictatorship: nobody has any illusions about this being anything other than pg's project, and that's a really good thing for the future. It means that there's one unifying vision for this site, and it's one that's powerful enough to keep people here, and it's a good enough one to make it worth being in. If something goes bad, he has control over fixing it.
        run4yourlives 18y ago
        Agreed, but it's hard to reverse a trend after the fact. The key is that he react to negative forces before they occur, which involves a bit of magic.
        unalone 18y ago
        When he holds the keys to the user accounts and the stories, he can react pretty quickly. He's shut off accounts temporarily (once to avoid an edit war over a title), and during the Obama election, a lot of stories ended up dead very quickly. That's what kept the site contained.
- icey 18y ago
  Philosophically HN is different than reddit and Digg in that the person who runs the site is active in shaping the ongoing conversation. Reddit and Digg ultimately became for-profit companies and in doing so, embraced the democratic method of policing their sites. HN on the other hand is somewhere between an oligarchy and meritocracy; and can only work that way because pg doesn't appear to want to monetize it. My point is that reddit and Digg are far more similar than reddit and HN or Digg and HN.
  - run4yourlives 18y ago
    Philosophically HN is different than reddit and Digg in that the person who runs the site is active in shaping the ongoing conversation. While true, I don't think this matters in the long run. Reddit's founders are pretty active, and clearly the decline started prior to the sale. What I do think though is that the items you bring up work to accelerating the effect, certainly. (Oh, and someone give the parent a free up-mod since I hit the down arrow when I was copy/pasting his comment. Thx)
    - iamelgringo 18y ago
      There's also a great number of people that have been around since the site started that are very committed to keeping the signal::noise ratio high. This discussion comes up fairly often, and the level of discourse or quality of content hasn't really degraded at all.
    - pg 18y ago
      The level of conversation on Reddit didn't decline because the founders were apathetic. They still care a lot about the site. But they are committed not to censoring anything, either comments or stories, and that tends to make the site something of a free-for-all. A massively successful free-for-all, incidentally: http://siteanalytics.compete.com/reddit.com+ycombinator.com/?metric=uv http://siteanalytics.compete.com/reddit.com+ycombinator.com/... For most users the change in the character of Reddit couldn't accurately be called "decline," or their traffic wouldn't still be growing so fast. It just seems like a decline to the small minority that includes us.
- motoko 18y ago
  news.ycombinator is successful because it's first the web forum for YCombinator program participants. "Trimming" works (civility and killing fluff stories) because what remains is a community of vetted YCombinator members and their friends.
- gruseom 18y ago
  When I took freshman philosophy, our professor told us about induction ("it's always been this way, so it will continue to") and anti-induction ("it hasn't been this way yet, so it probaby will soon"). He then explained that the argument for induction was that it's always worked before, so it probably will in the future, and the argument for anti-induction was that since it's never worked in the past, it's bound to this time. :)
whughes 18y ago
Perhaps the best method to fix this is to leave it alone and let the 'free market' work things out. Another site to succeed the current generation is due to pop up soon. It will probably try some new things, and if they work then it will have a longer golden age. Gradual evolution could patch these issues. There also seems to be room for more than one site (Slashdot still exists, after all), so this process can go on in several places simultaneously.

pg 18y ago

Of course it's next. It's just a matter of time. One can always claim this about something that hasn't happened yet. But it's already been two years and 15x growth and the sky has not fallen. So you could just as easily argue that what has saved us so far (killing fluff stories, insisting on civility in comment threads) will continue to work.

run4yourlives 18y ago
I'm not suggesting that the "sky will fall", I'm suggesting that it is inevitable that this site will change if it continues to grow, user count wise. To suggest it hasn't evolved and changed from it's original state is disingenuous really. (Not that you are doing that, specifically) Digg and reddit have turned into a glorified dorm room because that's what their average user is, a male college kid. Clearly, many people do feel the user base of this site changing - we wouldn't be commenting on this thread were this not the case. It's not a good/bad thing, as it means you've chosen to broaden your base as opposed to remain niche. There's nothing wrong with that. But at some point, you hit the magical land where the average user demographic has changed so much that the tipping point is passed.
- unalone 18y ago
  Digg and Reddit also make no attempt to welcome new users and to bring them up to the standards of the site. The people who've been here for longer than a few months all try to get new users up-to-speed. As a result, HN's wavered once or twice after really big traffic hits, but I haven't seen noticeable lowering of quality yet - that may be a sign that things will still stand. (I will note, however, that a lot more disagreeable trends have shown up over time: OS-bashing, obsession over one or two services in a given field. It's not awful, and it can always be avoided, but it's present now.)
  - run4yourlives 18y ago
    One should not confuse the rate of change with the question of whether or not such change is actually occurring. In other words, I think HN needs more than casual self policing to buck the trend, even if it doesn't really seem too bad at the moment.
    - unalone 18y ago
      It may seem casual, but remember that this is a benevolent dictatorship: nobody has any illusions about this being anything other than pg's project, and that's a really good thing for the future. It means that there's one unifying vision for this site, and it's one that's powerful enough to keep people here, and it's a good enough one to make it worth being in. If something goes bad, he has control over fixing it.
      - run4yourlives 18y ago
        Agreed, but it's hard to reverse a trend after the fact. The key is that he react to negative forces before they occur, which involves a bit of magic.
        unalone 18y ago
        When he holds the keys to the user accounts and the stories, he can react pretty quickly. He's shut off accounts temporarily (once to avoid an edit war over a title), and during the Obama election, a lot of stories ended up dead very quickly. That's what kept the site contained.
icey 18y ago
Philosophically HN is different than reddit and Digg in that the person who runs the site is active in shaping the ongoing conversation. Reddit and Digg ultimately became for-profit companies and in doing so, embraced the democratic method of policing their sites. HN on the other hand is somewhere between an oligarchy and meritocracy; and can only work that way because pg doesn't appear to want to monetize it. My point is that reddit and Digg are far more similar than reddit and HN or Digg and HN.
- run4yourlives 18y ago
  Philosophically HN is different than reddit and Digg in that the person who runs the site is active in shaping the ongoing conversation. While true, I don't think this matters in the long run. Reddit's founders are pretty active, and clearly the decline started prior to the sale. What I do think though is that the items you bring up work to accelerating the effect, certainly. (Oh, and someone give the parent a free up-mod since I hit the down arrow when I was copy/pasting his comment. Thx)
  - iamelgringo 18y ago
    There's also a great number of people that have been around since the site started that are very committed to keeping the signal::noise ratio high. This discussion comes up fairly often, and the level of discourse or quality of content hasn't really degraded at all.
  - pg 18y ago
    The level of conversation on Reddit didn't decline because the founders were apathetic. They still care a lot about the site. But they are committed not to censoring anything, either comments or stories, and that tends to make the site something of a free-for-all. A massively successful free-for-all, incidentally: http://siteanalytics.compete.com/reddit.com+ycombinator.com/?metric=uv http://siteanalytics.compete.com/reddit.com+ycombinator.com/... For most users the change in the character of Reddit couldn't accurately be called "decline," or their traffic wouldn't still be growing so fast. It just seems like a decline to the small minority that includes us.
motoko 18y ago
news.ycombinator is successful because it's first the web forum for YCombinator program participants. "Trimming" works (civility and killing fluff stories) because what remains is a community of vetted YCombinator members and their friends.
gruseom 18y ago
When I took freshman philosophy, our professor told us about induction ("it's always been this way, so it will continue to") and anti-induction ("it hasn't been this way yet, so it probaby will soon"). He then explained that the argument for induction was that it's always worked before, so it probably will in the future, and the argument for anti-induction was that since it's never worked in the past, it's bound to this time. :)

whughes 18y ago

Perhaps the best method to fix this is to leave it alone and let the 'free market' work things out. Another site to succeed the current generation is due to pop up soon. It will probably try some new things, and if they work then it will have a longer golden age. Gradual evolution could patch these issues. There also seems to be room for more than one site (Slashdot still exists, after all), so this process can go on in several places simultaneously.