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Show HN: Weather app to show actual performance of weather models

5 points by nickoteeno 5mo ago

nickoteeno 5mo ago
Got tired of forecasts being wrong and having no way to check. So I built an app that overlays what models predicted days ago vs. what actually happened, so you can literally see the accuracy on a timeline. You can compare all open-meteo models (such as IFS, AIFS, AIGFS...) side by side. Choose how many days back you want to check (it uses open-meteo's Previous Model Runs API) and the app shows the previous prediction as a "ghost line" against observed data. There's also a scoring system that calculates an accuracy by temp, wind, rain and sun hours. Features: - Compares previous predictions vs. observed data - Built-in scoring system that calculates accuracy by temp, wind, rain, and sun hours - Separate storm accuracy page to choose the best model for predicting storms. - Free and no ads! Would love to hear what fellow weather nerds think. Any feedback is welcome! If you're interested: iOS: https://apps.apple.com/nl/app/verisky/id6759251875 https://apps.apple.com/nl/app/verisky/id6759251875 Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.verisky.app https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.verisky.ap...
- ano-ther 5mo ago
  Nice! Even for a non weather nerd like me it makes for a helpful, and privacy friendly, forecast app, especially using the ensemble. The scoring on rain seems a bit binary though. In my area, one got 100%, the rest all scored 0.
  - nickoteeno 5mo ago
    Yeah when there's been very little rain, it's just hit or miss ;) Does it still look like that when you increase the Score tab lookback window? I will add some minimum amount of rain though, otherwise the score feels weird indeed
phillipseamore 5mo ago
I can't see you are retrieving any actual observations (open-meteo only provides model data). So you are really measuring model consistency or confidence since you aren't comparing to actual observations.
quinncom 5mo ago
I’m getting a “Forecast API error: 429 - Too many concurrent requests” error.

5 points by nickoteeno 5mo ago

Got tired of forecasts being wrong and having no way to check. So I built an app that overlays what models predicted days ago vs. what actually happened, so you can literally see the accuracy on a timeline. You can compare all open-meteo models (such as IFS, AIFS, AIGFS...) side by side. Choose how many days back you want to check (it uses open-meteo's Previous Model Runs API) and the app shows the previous prediction as a "ghost line" against observed data. There's also a scoring system that calculates an accuracy by temp, wind, rain and sun hours. Features: - Compares previous predictions vs. observed data - Built-in scoring system that calculates accuracy by temp, wind, rain, and sun hours - Separate storm accuracy page to choose the best model for predicting storms. - Free and no ads! Would love to hear what fellow weather nerds think. Any feedback is welcome! If you're interested: iOS: https://apps.apple.com/nl/app/verisky/id6759251875 https://apps.apple.com/nl/app/verisky/id6759251875 Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.verisky.app https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.verisky.ap...

ano-ther 5mo ago
Nice! Even for a non weather nerd like me it makes for a helpful, and privacy friendly, forecast app, especially using the ensemble. The scoring on rain seems a bit binary though. In my area, one got 100%, the rest all scored 0.
- nickoteeno 5mo ago
  Yeah when there's been very little rain, it's just hit or miss ;) Does it still look like that when you increase the Score tab lookback window? I will add some minimum amount of rain though, otherwise the score feels weird indeed

phillipseamore 5mo ago

I can't see you are retrieving any actual observations (open-meteo only provides model data). So you are really measuring model consistency or confidence since you aren't comparing to actual observations.

quinncom 5mo ago

I’m getting a “Forecast API error: 429 - Too many concurrent requests” error.