There’s a really good analysis here: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LBC2TnHK8cZAimdWF/will-jesus-christ-return-in-an-election-year https://www.lesswrong.com/po

There’s a really good analysis here: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LBC2TnHK8cZAimdWF/will-jesus-christ-return-in-an-election-year https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LBC2TnHK8cZAimdWF/will-jesus... > The Yes people are betting that, later this year, their counterparties (the No betters) will want cash (to bet on other markets), and so will sell out of their No positions at a higher price.