It will never be a good analogy because there's nothing equivalent to the effect corporate buyers had in locking in the windows monopoly for decades. If Apple

It will never be a good analogy because there's nothing equivalent to the effect corporate buyers had in locking in the windows monopoly for decades. If Apple wants to start selling $100/$200 phones (they dont) there's no "compatibility" barrier stopping people from buying them. If a new free licensed OS comes out based on some radically innovative tech (mind control? whatever...) those factories won't blink at switching over. If the Chinese government decides to outlaw Android because the nephew of the Premier runs a competing company/whatever... well some people will complain but most will just buy whatever the next best option is. Now there's no scenario for Android tanking that seems very likely to happen to me so ... yes I'd expect Android to dominate market share going forward. But that's a huge difference from Windows, a monopoly that didn't care what anyone expected to happen. Resistance was futile.