I have created reminders in my PIM to check this post again in late June of this year and May of next year. It's fun to speculate and debate this, but I'll be

I have created reminders in my PIM to check this post again in late June of this year and May of next year. It's fun to speculate and debate this, but I'll be extra interested to check back on this and see which, if either, of the models proves to be more accurate. What is lacking in a lot of these macro-economic discussions is the presentation of evidence that any of them are correct or incorrect based on past historical events. It may be out there, and I just don't hear people talk about it. Leads would be awesome. My fear is that it's all so complex you can't get beyond loose correlation. If we have a rebound this year or next, even if it's the stimulus, how will we know? Could it have been that almost all of the money was a complete waste, but the green industry investments hit out of the park? I'm really out of my area here :-)