3 ms·
Right, obviously you can only go so far on the steak to hamburger. But there are lots of places for abuse. The problem is that the definition for the CPI keep
by msandford 14y ago
Right, obviously you can only go so far on the steak to hamburger. But there are lots of places for abuse. The problem is that the definition for the CPI keeps changing, and thus, it's meaning over time is less useful.
What this study showed is that perceived inflation is real and doesn't jive with the numbers that the economists produce. Who is right? A 500 person sample will be good to predict the sentiment of the US as a whole. Gallup says that they only need 1,000 people to get +-4% so this is reasonable.
Ask yourself, which is more likely? The entirety of the US population doesn't understand how prices affect them day-to-day. Or that some economists have devised a moderately useful but not flawless metric?
Price formation comes from the relative values that every human being places on the marginal unit of a good. Prices are an emergent property of people interacting chaotically in a marketplace. To suggest that literally EVERYONE's ability to sense the change in price over time you also need to throw out the very people that set the prices to begin with.
EDIT: Link to gallup
http://www.gallup.com/poll/101872/how-does-gallup-polling-work.aspx http://www.gallup.com/poll/101872/how-does-gallup-polling-wo...
- yummyfajitas 14y agoGiven that the US population can't even agree with itself, it's likely that the US population does not, in fact, understand how prices affect them day to day. Or, more precisely, the US population does not accurately remember prices from years ago. I definitely couldn't tell you how much milk cost in 2005.
- msandford 14y agoRight but these people are getting polled regularly, not every five years. So they don't have to remember how much milk has gone up since 2005, but rather how much milk has gone up in the last 3-6mo. It's not easy but it's not impossible.