3 ms·
In the same way that numeracy skills were in the blast radius of the Colossus. People seriously underestimate how underpowered and tiny llms are for the tasks
by noosphr 6mo ago
In the same way that numeracy skills were in the blast radius of the Colossus.
People seriously underestimate how underpowered and tiny llms are for the tasks they need to solve.
A trillion parameter model can't tell the difference between left and right. We will need to grow them millions to trillions of times before they are half as good as AI boosters claim they are.
This isn't the end of thinking any more than the watt steam engine was the end of horses. It will be centuries before we get there. And by that point the difference between man and machine will be at best academic.
- somewhatgoated 6mo agoI don’t know about you but where I live only some rich people ride horses for fun sometimes; they are mostly irrelevant otherwise.
- metabagel 6mo agoSure, but the Watt steam engine was invented 250 years ago, which is the point.
- balamatom 6mo agoAnd where I live you can sometimes still see a horse-drawn cart on the roads. Albeit rarely - they are forbidden. 10 or 20 years ago it was more common. I rode one once a bunch of years ago, went with its owner to harvest construction materials from a collapsed building. Plus, on the way here today, I passed over a favela-type assemblage I can only describe as festering. No offense meant to its inhabitants - they are more real human beings than any of us. Point being, the future has been here for long enough. And, as the adage goes, it's not evenly distributed. I never made any money from being strong or being intelligent; my usefulness, like that of any "nerd", was rooted in knowledge arbitrage. Now that the psychopaths in charge have cognitive prosthetics, I expect to be culled.