In your scenario you're assuming the dice rolls are all independent. If polymarket bets were all pure dice rolls the 60% odds you quoted would be true. But the

In your scenario you're assuming the dice rolls are all independent. If polymarket bets were all pure dice rolls the 60% odds you quoted would be true. But they aren't independent there are a lot of correlations. Global geopolitics for example. The way the math works out, 73% of markets resolve to No, If you buy No at 0.73 each time you would break even. Not financial advice of course