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Not my project, but author said on X: > Why predict the future when 73.4% of all Polymarkets resolve as No? https://x.com/sterlingcrispin/status/2043398710013
by m-hodges 6mo ago
Not my project, but author said on X:
> Why predict the future when 73.4% of all Polymarkets resolve as No?
https://x.com/sterlingcrispin/status/2043398710013595857 https://x.com/sterlingcrispin/status/2043398710013595857
- gruez 6mo agoThat logic doesn't work because not every bet have even payouts. If there's a market for whether a dice rolls 1 or not, the odds might resolve to "no" 83% of the time, but if it only pays you $1.1 per dollar wagered on "no", you're still losing money.
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