There's a difference between quantifiable but unmanageable situational risk and predictable, manageable technical risk. The heatshield issue is the latter. $1

There's a difference between quantifiable but unmanageable situational risk and predictable, manageable technical risk. The heatshield issue is the latter. $100 billion has been spent on this project. Ablative heatshield coatings have been used since the Atlas ICBM in 1957. Yet they still flew Artemis with significant technical risk on a political grandstanding mission that delivered no significant science.