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There are two nearly identical peaks on this chart. The trough between them is Covid. I’m not seeing anything I can call a Covid spike
by conductr 6mo ago
There are two nearly identical peaks on this chart. The trough between them is Covid.
I’m not seeing anything I can call a Covid spike
- whimsicalism 6mo agowell that's because you're discussing in good faith
- ceejayoz 6mo agoWhere am I using bad faith?
- ceejayoz 6mo agoThe lowest point of the first trough is when COVID starts. It then rapidly increases and stays high for two years.
- conductr 6mo agoIt looks like that rapid increase was a return to pre-covid normal. It never spikes above pre-covid. Given the world was returning to normal, this is precisely what you'd expect most trends to look like, something like in-restaurant dining probably looks similar.
- ceejayoz 6mo agoAs the authors note, their data only goes back to 2018. So “pre-COVID normal” is tough to confirm here. Then we have to figure out why it dropped so much pre-COVID. Because the timeline doesn’t say it can possibly be Flock. Same for the 2023 drop. The timeline simply doesn’t match up with Flock’s rollout.
- conductr 6mo agoThat’s why I said “how I read this chart is ….” I don’t know what pre2018 looked like either. But on this chart, it was the precovid portion. Nowhere on here am I seeing how covid caused a spike up, that’s what you said though and signifying our differences in reading the chart that was shown.