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Always look at the actions, not the talks. Reality on the ground is: US has been amassing troops in tens of thousands. Their mercenary IDF is claiming territor
by robinsoncrusue 6mo ago
Always look at the actions, not the talks.
Reality on the ground is: US has been amassing troops in tens of thousands. Their mercenary IDF is claiming territory like a field day. Market has barely capitulated (which is the only thing this admin care about).
I expect this is just Trump buying time until he launches ground invasion after two weeks of failed negotiation. You don't spend millions sending tens of thousands of soldiers and billion dollar worth of hardware to just call them back to base.
Trump will "negotiate" and then in the middle of negotiation start a ground invasion just like they did in the past while they map all the military targets for ground invasion (which is hard to when missiles flying all the time). Possibly also replenish their interceptor stocks from other regions which has been running low.
If you follow the kind of people advising him and have his ears (Witkoff, Kushner, Loomer, Levin) they are all for ground invasion.
But yeah, win for US. Oil prices will rebound giving economy the breathing time. Possibly also time to arm the insurgents to regroup for regime change.
- surgical_fire 6mo agoTens of thousands of troops are not really enough to invade a country the size of Iran. The US used an order of magnitude more in Iraq, which had a third of the population, and a smaller and more geographically forgiving territory.
- BLKNSLVR 6mo agoYeah, but the Iranian armed forces have been obliterated...
- throw0101c 6mo agoJust like it's nuclear program…
- jasdfwasd 6mo agoTrump and Netanyahu believe they can win this one [1]: [1]: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/us/politics/trump-iran-war.html https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/us/politics/trump-iran-wa...
- cjbgkagh 6mo agoAnd the IEDs were in the ground not flying overhead. Asymmetric war has completely changed the math.
- dboreham 6mo ago> they are all for ground invasion Ahh those titans of military stragegy.
- phainopepla2 6mo ago> Trump will "negotiate" and then in the middle of negotiation start a ground invasion just like they did in the past while they map all the military targets for ground invasion (which is hard to when missiles flying all the time) Why is it hard map military targets while missiles are flying? Don't missile launches reveal targets? And I would assume that the mapping is mostly done via satellite, which aren't affected by missiles
- jopsen 6mo ago> Their mercenary IDF Lol, under what definition? Personally, I have a hard time seeing any good actors here. But of all the actors, I kind of doubt Israel is in it for the money.
- throw0101c 6mo ago> Reality on the ground is: US has been amassing troops in tens of thousands. The 2003 invasion of Iraq had 500,000 troops, for a country smaller in area than Iran and with fewer people. The current 50,000 US troops isn't going to do much against Iran as a whole.