There's an interview somewhere on YT with a retired general, a really sharp guy, where he points out that the Pentagon has been wargaming this for thirty years

There's an interview somewhere on YT with a retired general, a really sharp guy, where he points out that the Pentagon has been wargaming this for thirty years and it always had exactly the same outcome, which is the one we're seeing now. The generals knew exactly what would happen. Problem is that there's a dementia patient and some of the most incompetent people ever to hold office running the show, not not educated, thinking people.