4 ms·
Update: 400+ quiz takers now... insane. Best Brier score so far is 0.007 (nearly perfect calibration). The worst came in at 0.600. Average is 0.230, still just
by convexly 6mo ago
Update: 400+ quiz takers now... insane. Best Brier score so far is 0.007 (nearly perfect calibration). The worst came in at 0.600. Average is 0.230, still just better than a coin flip. Where did you land?
- tommica 6mo agoWorst came in 0.600? Fuck, I got 0.550...
- convexly 6mo agoJust need practice! People have no idea how overconfident they actually are.
- bovermyer 6mo agoI hit 0.012. As a test of general knowledge it was interesting. The confidence angle was the most interesting part, though.
- convexly 6mo agoThat's the second best score I've seen today out of 700+ quiz takers! Exceptional calibration. The confidence angle is the whole point, people don't know how far off they actually are until they see the hard data!