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Article doesn't mention Sam Wang. His confidence level for Obama winning was at 99% http://election.princeton.edu/ http://election.princeton.edu/
by swang 14y ago
Article doesn't mention Sam Wang. His confidence level for Obama winning was at 99%
http://election.princeton.edu/ http://election.princeton.edu/
- peteretep 14y agoOooh, I wonder what "he" might choose for a username on a social media site!
- jrockway 14y agoA reply below says that the username is a coincidence. I'm inclined to believe it. Why use your real name to troll HN over a pretty obscure topic that's not even related to the site's userbase?
- swang 14y agoI can guarantee, with a near 100% confidence rating, that I am not Sam Wang. Merely coincidental that we have the same last name and first initial. I mean there has to be at least 100 million people in the world with the surname Wang so the odds that we are the same person are pretty slim!
- crayola 14y ago"I mean there has to be at least 100 million people in the world with the surname Wang so the odds that we are the same person are pretty slim!" Except this seems to ignore that P(comment about Sam Wang | I am Sam Wang) is much higher than P(comment about Sam Wang | I am not Sam Wang) :-)
- gamble 14y agoHe mentions in the comments that Wang's website doesn't appear to give the raw numbers he needs to analyze its accuracy.
- gwern 14y agoRight. Wang seems to now have released raw numbers but did so after I finished my numbers and gave OP the go-ahead. I plan to add Wang and some other stuff today.
- quorn3000 14y agoAre you related?
- swang 14y agoNope.