(1) he has to stay alive until then (2) he has to overcome an absolutely massive approval deficit (3) he has to be able to run a credible campaign (4) he has

(1) he has to stay alive until then (2) he has to overcome an absolutely massive approval deficit (3) he has to be able to run a credible campaign (4) he has to get around the term limits (5) I would expect there to be a fairly large number of people to be very upset if he did All in all I don't think his chances for re-election are > 0. But I agree with you that he might try, by hook - or by crook - to hold on to that chair.