3 ms·
I guess I'm glad that Kalshi and Polymarket don't seem to have betting pools on launch/return success.
by xnx 7mo ago
I guess I'm glad that Kalshi and Polymarket don't seem to have betting pools on launch/return success.
- Vecr 7mo agoRobin Hanson thinks they should. He makes a comparison to the (public company) Morton-Thiokol trading minutes after the shuttle explosion. Insider trading (allowed on future markets) would have let that price move before the explosion.